In 20 years, there will be more than 300 million electric cars.

On April 11th, the BP World Energy Outlook (2018 edition) Chinese version is published in Beijing. It is predicted that in 2040, the total passenger car will nearly increase to 2 billion, of which more than 300 million vehicles. Electric cars, plug-in hybrids and all-electric cars are roughly equal to the total in 2040.

Increase in the number of electric vehicle and efficiency improved significantly

By 2040, the global number of passenger cars, at the same time increase in the number of electric vehicle and vehicle efficiency significantly increased.

In gradual transition scenario, by 2040 the total passenger car nearly doubled to 2 billion, of which more than 300 million electric cars. In gradual transition scenario, the electric car will grow faster than that of last year's outlook of the basic situation of growth.

Besides, plug-in hybrids and all-electric cars, by 2040 the total amount will be roughly equal.

World outlook, the overall efficiency by an average of 2-3% was higher than in the past 15 years, mainly driven by strict regulation and government targets.

There will be 30% electricity passenger car driving mileage

In addition, the energy demand of road traffic is the electric car sharing joint impact of travel and automatic driving.

In gradual transition scenario, by 2040, passenger car driving mileage will have 30% is to use electric power, electric vehicles (pure electric and mixed electric) is significantly higher than the global car accounted for 15% of the total. This means that the proportion in sharing travel electric cars will occupy the important position.

In the field of sharing travel car use intensity is bigger, and lower the cost per kilometer of electric vehicle and therefore more competitive than the internal combustion engine car. Especially around the year 2020 will be fully automatic driving, can make the car travel costs to the rapid fall in share (and the use of electric cars) in 2030 have risen sharply.

In gradual transition scenario, electrification of cars the penetration of the market depends on the increase in the amount of electric vehicles and automated driving interaction and sharing travel.

This year to 2040, the outlook of time node pointed out 2040 years ago the world's energy transformation driving force as well as the uncertainty of the key factors. In view of the speed of energy transformation cannot be sure, the new "outlook" on the discussion on a series of scenarios.

In addition to electric cars and other industry outlook points as follows:

Is expected to China's energy demand growth will slow to an annual 1.5%, within the outlook period less than in the past 20 years the average annual growth rate (6.3%) of a third.

Developing economies of the rapid growth of energy demand will promote global energy demand increases by a third.

By 2040, the global energy structure will present the most diversified situation, oil, natural gas, coal and non-fossil fuels one quarter.

Renewable energy to five times the speed of growth is currently the fastest growing source of energy, about 14% of primary energy.

The continued growth of oil demand in the forecast period last years tend to be stable.

Gas demand growth is strong, more than coal as the second largest source of energy.

Oil and gas for about half the world energy country side.

Global coal consumption leveled off, China's coal consumption has peaked.

The world continues to electrification of the world's primary energy increment nearly 70% from the power industry.

Carbon emissions continue to rise, so need to take a set of actions, completely change the situation of the past.

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